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AMPHENOL CORP /DE/ (APH)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Amphenol delivered a record quarter: revenue $4.81B (+48% YoY; +11% QoQ) and adjusted EPS $0.63 (+58% YoY), materially above consensus; GAAP EPS was $0.58 .
- Strength was led by IT datacom (+134% organic YoY) tied to AI build-outs, with broad-based demand and record adjusted operating margin of 23.5% (+250 bps YoY; +110 bps QoQ) .
- Q2 2025 guidance: sales $4.90–$5.00B and adjusted EPS $0.64–$0.66; management also guided GAAP EPS $0.63–$0.65 and quarterly interest expense ~$70M, sustained elevated capex to support AI demand .
- Catalysts: acceleration of AI datacenter orders (book-to-bill 1.1x), raised Andrew accretion to ~$0.09 in 2025 (was ~$0.06), and sustained margin conversion >25% implied in Q2 guidance .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Record sales and margins: $4.81B revenue, adjusted operating margin 23.5% (record) and adjusted EPS $0.63, both above the high end of guidance; “results were much stronger than expected” (CEO) .
- AI-driven acceleration: IT datacom grew 133% in USD and 134% organically YoY; management sees “unique opportunity” as products are critical to next-gen AI systems .
- Orders and cash generation: record $5.292B orders (book-to-bill 1.1x), operating cash flow $765M, free cash flow $580M, repurchased 2.7M shares ($180.9M) and paid $200M dividends .
What Went Wrong
- Tariffs and pricing pressure: slight pricing impact expected into Q2; management working with customers to mitigate/passthrough, with margins still “very strong” in guide .
- Mobile devices pull-in: slight demand pull-in in Q1; Q2 expected to moderate in high teens as customers prepare for H2 launches .
- Europe remains soft in Industrial/factory automation; “green shoots” were limited, with sequential improvement but still slightly down YoY .
Financial Results
Headline quarterly results and estimate comparison
Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Profitability and margins
Non-GAAP reconciliation impacts (Q1 2025)
Segment net sales and margins
KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Our results were much stronger than expected, exceeding the high end of guidance in sales and adjusted diluted earnings per share.” (CEO) .
- “The revolution in artificial intelligence continues to create a unique opportunity for Amphenol…our products are critical components in these next-generation networks.” (CEO) .
- “We now anticipate that the [Andrew] acquisition will add approximately $0.09 to our earnings this full year.” (CEO) .
- “Given our continued momentum and strong execution, I believe we’re well positioned to modestly exceed [the historical] 25% conversion again this year.” (CFO) .
Q&A Highlights
- Tariffs: slight pricing impact embedded in Q2 guidance; local footprint and customer pass-through strategy to moderate effects; margins remain strong .
- Organic upside drivers: execution against AI demand in IT datacom; only notable pull-in was mobile devices; distribution trends normal .
- Industrial Europe: sequential improvement but still slightly down YoY; greenshoots visible but early .
- Margins/Conversion: CFO signaled ability to exceed 25% contribution margin near term despite cross-currents .
- Data center demand breadth: strength across hyperscalers, OEMs, chip companies; guide implies further incremental performance .
- Order linearity: demand exceeded expectations; customers would have taken more; majority of orders fulfilled within a couple of quarters .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025 results vs S&P Global consensus: revenue $4.811B vs $4.284B*; GAAP EPS $0.58 vs $0.521*; adjusted EPS $0.63 (non-GAAP) vs GAAP EPS consensus .
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of estimates: EPS 13*, Revenue 12*.
- Implication: consensus likely to revise upward for IT datacom exposure; Andrew accretion raises FY EPS trajectory .
Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
S&P Global Consensus Detail
Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- The quarter was a clear beat on both revenue and EPS, driven by AI-led IT datacom demand and strong execution; book-to-bill at 1.1x supports near-term momentum .
- Guidance implies sustained margin conversion >25% and continued growth into Q2; monitor margin resilience amidst tariffs and elevated capex .
- Andrew accretion lifted to ~$0.09 for 2025, expanding Communications Solutions scale and margin profile; integration appears ahead of expectations .
- Mobile devices saw a slight pull-in; expect moderation in Q2—near-term headwind but consistent with seasonality and launch cycles .
- Industrial Europe remains soft but stabilizing; Harsh Environment and Interconnect/Sensor steady; segment diversity mitigates regional cyclicality .
- Balance sheet/liquidity robust (net debt ~$5.5B; liquidity ~$4B); capital returns remain active (dividends, buybacks) .
- Trading: AI datacenter exposure is the principal narrative; beats and higher accretion underpin estimate revisions and multiple support; watch tariff developments and Q2 execution milestones .
Additional Relevant Q1 2025 Press Releases
- Completed acquisition of CommScope’s OWN/DAS (“Andrew”) and LifeSync; Andrew expected ~$1.3B 2025 sales and initial ~$0.06 accretion (later raised to ~$0.09) .
- ACS & Semtech introduced 1.6T OSFP Active Copper Cable for next-gen AI/ML interconnects (power/latency benefits) .
- Released 2024 Sustainability Report with progress on GHG reduction targets .
- Declared Q1 2025 dividend of $0.165/share .